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The world is not enough! Small open economies and regional dependence
(CAMP Working Paper Series;3/2011, Working paper, 2011)This paper bridges the new open economy factor augmented VAR (FAVAR) studies with the recent findings in the business cycle synchronization literature emphasizing the importance of regional factors. That is, we estimate ... -
Ti dager i Amerika
(CME Working paper series;1/1999, Working paper, 1999) -
Time-Varying Trend Models for Forecasting Inflation in Australia
(CAMP Working Paper Series;09/2020, Working paper, 2020-11-18)We investigate whether a class of trend models with various error term structures can improve upon the forecast performance of commonly used time series models when forecasting CPI inflation in Australia. The main result ... -
To Structure Political Conflict: the Institutionalisation of Referendums on European Integration in the Nordic Countries
(CEAS Reports;1/2007, Working paper, 2007)This is a paper presented at the European Consortium for Political Research Joint Sessions of Workshops, Helsinki, May 7-12, 2007. -
Trenger Norge en valutakurspolitikk?
(CME Working paper series;3/2003, Working paper, 2003)Med dette notatet vil vi invitere til en diskusjon om behovet for en valutakurspolitikk i Norge. Er det mulig med en egen valutakurspolitikk? Er det ønskelig med en norsk valutakurspolitikk? Om man på begge disse to ... -
Ulikhetens pris
(CME Working Papers;2/2014, Working paper, 2014)Mye av de økonomiske ulikhetene i USA skyldes finansmarkedenes virkemåte, og hvordan toppledere mer generelt har klart å ta ut en stadig økende andel av verdiskapningen, hevder professor Joseph E. Stiglitz i boken The Price ... -
Uncertainty and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
(CAMP Working Paper Series;12/2023, Working paper, 2023-10-13)We present a new stylized fact about the link between uncertainty and the term structure of interest rates: Unexpectedly heightened uncertainty elicits a lower, steeper, and flatter yield curve. This result is established ... -
Uro
(CME Working paper series;7/2007, Working paper, 2007)Aarbeidsnotatet er satt sammen av Månedsbrevet til Arne Jon Isachsen for juli-desember 2007. Månedsbrevet består av 6 ulike artikler. -
Using Brokerage Commissions to Secure IPO Allocations
(CCGR Working Paper;4/2010, Working paper, 2010)Using data, at the investor level, on the allocations of shares in initial public offerings (IPOs), we document a strong positive relationship between the amount of stock-trading commission and the number of shares an ... -
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts
(CAMP Working Paper Series;8/2015, Working paper, 2015)This paper shows entropic tilting to be a flexible and powerful tool for combining mediumterm forecasts from BVARs with short-term forecasts from other sources (nowcasts from either surveys or other models). Tilting ... -
Utenrikspolitiske refleksjoner
(CME Working paper series;5/2007, Working paper, 2007)Aarbeidsnotatet er satt sammen av Månedsbrevet til Arne Jon Isachsen for januar-juni 2007. Månedsbrevet består av 6 ulike artikler. -
Den vanskelige valutakursen
(CME Working paper series;7/2002, Working paper, 2002) -
Verdens rikeste land
(CME Working paper series;6/2006, Working paper, 2006)Arbeidsnotatet er satt sammen av Månedsbrevet til Arne Jon Isachsen for januar-juni 2006. Månedsbrevet består av 6 ulike artikler. -
Voting When the Stakes Are High
(CAMP Working Paper Series;8/2013, Working paper, 2013)Most theories of voter behavior predict that electoral participation will be higher in elections where more is at stake. We test this prediction by studying how participation is affected by exogenous variation in local ... -
Washington D.C. - oktober 2001
(CME Working paper series;6/2001, Working paper, 2001) -
What drives oil prices? Emerging versus developed economies
(CAMP Working Paper Series;2/2012, Working paper, 2012)We analyze the importance of demand from emerging and developed economies as drivers of the real price of oil over the last two decades. Using a factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) model that allows us to ... -
When does an interest path "look good"? Criteria for an appropriate future interest rate path
(CME Working paper series;5/2006, Working paper, 2006)Svensson (2004) suggested that a monetary policy committee of a central bank (MPC) should “find an instrument-rate path such that projections of inflation and output gap ‘look good’.” Academic literature on monetary ... -
When Does Cash Matter?
(CCGR Working Paper;6/2011, Working paper, 2011)We examine the association between a firm’s cash holdings and its performance. Using a large sample of private companies, we find that the importance of cash for a firm’s performance varies substantially with its size ... -
Where do they care? The ECB in the media and inflation expectations
(CAMP Working Paper Series;04/2023, Working paper, 2023-05-10)This paper examines how news coverage of the European Central Bank (ECB) affects consumer inflation expectations in the four largest euro area countries. Utilizing a unique dataset of multilingual European news articles, ... -
Who enforces whom? The political economy of the EMU fiscal discipline
(CME Working paper series;3/2000, Working paper, 2000)