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Oil and political survival

Andersen, Jørgen Juel; Aslaksen, Silje
Journal article, Peer reviewed
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URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11250/93724
Date
2013
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Original version
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2012.08.008
Abstract
Political economy theories on the natural resource curse predict that natural resource

wealth is a determining factor for the length of time political leaderships remain in o¢ ce.

Whether resource wealth leads to longer or shorter durations in political o¢ ce depends

on the political incentives created by the natural resources, which in turn depend on the

types of institutions and natural resource. Exploiting a sample of more than 600 political

leadership durations in up to 152 countries, we nd that both institutions and resource

types matter for the e¤ect that natural resource wealth has on political survival: (i) wealth

derived from natural resources a¤ects political survival in intermediate and autocratic, but

not in democratic, polities; and (ii) while oil and non-lootable diamonds are associated with

positive e¤ects on the duration in political o¢ ce, minerals are associated with negative

duration e¤ects.
Description
This is the authors’ final, accepted and refereed manuscript to the article
Publisher
Elsevier
Journal
Journal of Development Economics

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