Blar i Scientific articles på emneord "Oil price"
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Quantifying Time-Varying Forecast Uncertainty and Risk for the Real Price of Oil
(Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)We propose a novel and numerically efficient quantification approach to forecast uncertainty of the real price of oil using a combination of probabilistic individual model forecasts. Our combination method extends earlier ... -
The form of government and fiscal dynamics
(Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2011)Using a combination of time-series variation in oil prices and cross-section variation in the oil intensity of countries, this paper investigates whether exogenous shifts in the government revenues a¤ect the government ...