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Do Central Banks Respond Timely to Developments in the Global Economy?

Bjørnland, Hilde C; Thorsrud, Leif Anders; Zahiri, Sepideh Khayati
Journal article, Peer reviewed
Accepted version
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Available from 2021-09-21 (1.578Mb)
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https://hdl.handle.net/11250/2643875
Utgivelsesdato
2019
Metadata
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Originalversjon
Oxf Bull Econ Stat. 2020   10.1111/obes.12335
Sammendrag
Our analysis suggests; they do not! We arrive at this conclusion by showing that revisions to the published interest rate path projections from the central banks in New Zealand, Norway and Sweden can be predicted by timely and forward‐looking international indicators. Furthermore, using individual country and Panel VARs, identified with an external instrument method, we show that the policy surprises induced by the predictable revisions likely contain information about how the central banks assess past, current and future economic conditions and thereby leads to a positive co‐movement between the interest rate and both financial markets and the macroeconomy.
Utgiver
Wiley
Tidsskrift
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Opphavsrett
Copyright policy of Wiley, the publisher of this journal: Authors are permitted to self-archive the peer-reviewed (but not final) version of a contribution on the contributor's personal website, in the contributor's institutional repository or archive, subject to an embargo period of 24 months for social science and humanities (SSH) journals and 12 months for scientific, technical, and medical (STM) journals following publication of the final contribution.

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