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The effect of internet usage on voter turnout in the European Union

Boug, Andreas
Master thesis
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URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11250/2577816
Date
2018
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  • Master of Science [1116]
Abstract
This master thesis investigates the effect of internet usage on voter turnout in the

European Union over the sample period from 1990 to 2016. The methodology

applies is both ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation and the fixed effect model

approach, in which the dependent variable is voter turnout and the independent

variable is the internet usage. Both socioeconomic variables such as population,

gender (female) and age, in addition to macroeconomic variables such as GDP per

capita and the unemployment rate are used as a control variable in the regressions.

The main findings suggest a positive and statistically significant effect of internet

usage on voter turnout in the European Union. Moreover, the findings from the

OLS estimation and the fixed effects models only differ slightly, which makes the

simultaneity problem less likely in the empirical analysis. The sensitivity analysis

conducted in this thesis examine the robustness of the main findings by firstly

excluding the female variable as a control variable and secondly by excluding

Belgium and Luxembourg from the data set due to compulsory voting in these

countries. In both cases, the estimated effect of internet usage on the voter turnout

remains positive and huge in magnitude and statistically significant at

conventional levels. That said, all findings reported in this thesis should be

considered with some caution, as more comprehensive sensitivity analysis with

respect to control variables not used in the empirical analysis may be conducted.

Such comprehensive sensitivity analysis has been beyond the scope of this thesis

and is left for future research.
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Masteroppgave(MSc) in Master of Business - Handelshøyskolen BI, 2018
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Handelshøyskolen BI

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