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The contraction effect: How proportional representation affects mobilization and turnout

Cox, Gary W.; Fiva, Jon H.; Smith, Daniel M.
Journal article, Peer reviewed
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Permanent link
http://hdl.handle.net/11250/2429132
Issue date
2016
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  • Scientific articles [1208]
Original version
Journal of Politics, 78(2016)4, 1249-1263   http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/686804
Abstract
A substantial body of research examines whether increasing the proportionality of an electoral system increases turnout, mostly based on cross-national comparisons. In this study, we offer two main contributions to the previous literature. First, we show that moving from a single-member district system to proportional representation in multimember districts should, according to recent theories of elite mobilization, produce a contraction in the distribution of mobilizational effort across districts and, hence, a contraction in the distribution of turnout rates. Second, we exploit a within-country panel data set based on stable subnational geographic units before and after Norway’s historic 1919 electoral reform in order to test various implications stemming from the contraction hypothesis. We find significant support for the predictions of the elite mobilization models.
Description
The accepted and peer reviewed manuscript to the article
Publisher
University of Chicago Press
Journal
Journal of Politics

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