• Monetary policy shocks and exchange rate dynamics in small open economies 

      Terrell, Madison; Haque, Qazi; Cross, Jamie L.; Tchatoka, Firmin Doko (CAMP Working Paper Series;10/2023, Working paper, 2023-06-29)
      This paper investigates the relationship between monetary policy shocks and real exchange rates in several small open economies. To that end, we develop a novel identification strategy for time-varying structural vector ...
    • Monetary policy when export revenues drop 

      Bergholt, Drago; Røisland, Øistein; Sveen, Tommy; Torvik, Ragnar (CAMP Working Paper Series;04/2022, Working paper, 2022-11)
      We study how monetary policy should respond to shocks which permanently alter the steady state structure of the economy. In such a case monetary policy affects not only the short run misallocations due to nominal rigidities, ...
    • Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk 

      Korobilis, Dimitris; Schröder, Maximilian (CAMP Working Paper Series;06/2023, Working paper, 2023-08-03)
      We propose a multicountry quantile factor augmeneted vector autoregression (QFAVAR) to model heterogeneities both across countries and across characteristics of the distributions of macroeconomic time series. The presence ...
    • Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting 

      McAlinn, Kenichiro; Aastveit, Knut Are; Nakajima, Jouchi; West, Mike (CAMP Working Paper Series;01/2019, Working paper, 2019-01-16)
      We present new methodology and a case study in use of a class of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) models for multivariate time series forecasting. This extends the foundational BPS framework to the multivariate setting, ...
    • Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting 

      Aastveit, Knut Are; McAlinn, Kenichiro; Nakajima, Jouchi; West, Mike (Working paper, 2019)
      We present new methodology and a case study in use of a class of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) models for multivariate time series forecasting. This extends the foundational BPS framework to the multivariate setting, ...
    • Mye vil ha mer 

      Isachsen, Arne Jon (CME Working Papers;1/2015, Working paper, 2015)
      Dette arbeidsnotatet setter sammen brevene fra fjorårets seks siste måneder: Kina er tjent med den valutapolitikken landet nå har. Kina trenger en gradvis liberalisering av det innenlandske kredittmarkedet. Denne ...
    • Narrative monetary policy surprises and the media 

      ter Ellen, Saskia; Larsen, Vegard H.; Thorsrud, Leif Anders (CAMP Working Paper Series;06/2019, Working paper, 2019-10-16)
      We propose a method to quantify narratives from textual data in a structured manner, and identify what we label "narrative monetary policy surprises" as the change in economic media coverage explained by central bank ...
    • Nasjonalbudsjettet 2001 

      Steigum, Erling; Klovland, Jan Tore; Schjelderup, Guttorm; Thøgersen, Øystein (CME Working paper series;9/2000, Working paper, 2000)
    • Nasjonalbudsjettet 2003: Fra konjunktur til struktur ; Pengepolitikken mer dominerende 

      Houg, Kjetil; Leitemo, Kai (CME Working paper series;8/2002, Working paper, 2002)
    • Når forskjellene blir for store 

      Isachsen, Arne Jon (CME Working Papers;8/2014, Working paper, 2014)
      Forestillingen om at økonomisk vekst først ville føre til økende inntektsforskjeller og deretter minkende, holder ikke. Teknologiske fremskritt og tiltakende globalisering bidrar til større inntektsforskjeller. Utdanning ...
    • Når gjelden blir for stor 

      Isachsen, Arne Jon (CME Working papers;3/2015, Working paper, 2015-06)
      Dette arbeidsnotatet setter sammen brevene fra årets seks første måneder: Hvem skal eie bankene? Når gjelden blir for stor. Sover OECD i timen? Velferd på kinesisk. Konkurrerende lettelser. Familien i sentrum. ...
    • New Kid on the Block? China vs the US in World Oil Markets 

      Cross, Jamie; Nguyen, Bao H.; Zhang, Bo (CAMP Working Paper Series;02/2019, Working paper, 2019-04-08)
      China has recently overtaken the US to become the world largest importer of crude oil. In light of this fact, we formally compare contributions of demand shocks from China, the US and the rest of the world. We find that ...
    • News media vs. FRED-MD for macroeconomic forecasting 

      Ellingsen, Jon; Larsen, Vegard H.; Thorsrud, Leif Anders (CAMP Working Paper Series;08/2020, Working paper, 2020-10-08)
      Using a unique dataset of 22.5 million news articles from the Dow Jones Newswires Archive, we perform an in depth real-time out-of-sample forecasting comparison study with one of the most widely used data sets in the newer ...
    • News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities 

      Larsen, Vegard H.; Thorsrud, Leif Anders; Zhulanova, Julia (CAMP Working Paper Series;03/2019, Working paper, 2019-04-23)
      We investigate the role played by the media in the expectations formation process of households. Using a news-topic-based approach we show that news types the media choose to report on, e.g., (Internet) technology, health, ...
    • Nibor - intet mysterium 

      Aamdal, Kyrre (CME Working Papers;6/2014, Working paper, 2014)
      Norges Bank hevder at dagens regelverk og praksis for kvotering av NIBOR ikke tilfredsstiller kravene til tillit og robusthet. Sentralbanken viser blant annet til kvoteringen av STIBOR og ønsker en ren kronerente basert på ...
    • Nibor-mysteriet 

      Høien, Torgeird (CME Working Papers;3/2014, Working paper, 2014)
      Referanserenten Nibor står på sandgrunn. For Nibor er ikke tuftet på markedstransaksjoner. Nibor er basert på bankenes anslag på forventet styringsrente med et tillegg for antatt risikopremie. For å få god referanserente ...
    • Noen betraktninger om Oljefondet 

      Isachsen, Arne Jon (CME Working Papers;4/2014, Working paper, 2014)
      Oljefondet bør vurdere å gå tungt inn i fast eiendom i andre land. Det vil innebære en god diversifisering, samtidig som vi unngår å bli for stor eier på verdens aksjebørser. En årlig rapport, modellert etter Norges Bank ...
    • Norsk Investorforum skriver brev 

      Isachsen, Arne Jon (CME Working paper series;3/2001, Working paper, 2001)
    • Norsk økonomi etter 1980 – fra krise til suksess 

      Steigum, Erling (CME Working Paper Series;4/2010, Working paper, 2010)
      Norsk økonomi anno 2010 fremstår som en stor suksess. Det er bare Luxemburg som nå har en høyere kjøpekraftskorrigert brutto nasjonalinntekt per innbygger enn Norge blant OECDlandene. Det er illustrerende at norsk økonomi ...
    • Norway and the Euro 

      Skånland, Hermod (CME Working paper series;8/1999, Working paper, 1999)