Browsing BI Open by Author "Turchin, Peter"

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    • A History of Possible Futures: Multipath Forecasting of Social breakdown, Recovery and Resilience 

      Turchin, Peter; Witoszek, Nina; Thurner, Stefan; Garcia, David; Griffin, Roger; Hoyer, Daniel; Midttun, Atle; Bennett, James; Næss, Knut Myrum; Gavrilets, Sergey (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2018)
      Recent years have seen major political crises throughout the world, and foreign policy analysts nearly universally expect to see rising tensions within (and between) countries in the next 5–20 years. Being able to predict ...